Monday, November 17, 2008

Forecasting .....

Hmmmm I had a lecture or two about forecasting I was wondering if it was that simple whyyy would the credit crisis arise ....... Why could it not be avoided .....

Lets take the bayesian network ..... and apply it to the mortgage scenario ....

if I know that the mortgage I am accepting is risky and I lend money on that ...Given the risk associated with the mortgage I should be able to identify the probability of return of investment on the mortgage. I was wondering why was it not used ??? I came with a dream to study Business Intelligence systems but I wonder why is it not used in Business ...CRAZYYYYYY

i just attended a Information session ..... and the recruiter did not know that BI is a subsidiary of Information Technology !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I wonder to satisfy my love for these expert systems either I would have to do a PHD in these systems or I would have to nip the bud in the bed :(

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